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WizardofSoda
Overlord
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- Aug 25, 2019
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https://apnews.com/article/biden-eu...and-politics-bddc8fc02afcc2a072bbdd388dc1a658
Big wars take time to scale up. I think probably the Ukraine war is going to get a lot bigger in 2023. For example the 1st wave of mobilizations in Russia brought in 360,000 reservists. Who are now doing their 3 month training to get ready to get sent in to Ukraine. Thing i realized is that takes a whole large infrastructure to be calling up and training large numbers of reservists. So in January Russia will likely go to the 2nd wave of mobilization, and be training at least another 360,000 in that wave. If needed they may scaleup their training facilities more. Every 3 months they can do another round of mobilizations.
The defense industry also takes a long time to scale up. Like they can't just instantly produce 5 times as much weapons, it takes time to add capacity and for their suppliers to scale up.
Big wars take time to scale up. I think probably the Ukraine war is going to get a lot bigger in 2023. For example the 1st wave of mobilizations in Russia brought in 360,000 reservists. Who are now doing their 3 month training to get ready to get sent in to Ukraine. Thing i realized is that takes a whole large infrastructure to be calling up and training large numbers of reservists. So in January Russia will likely go to the 2nd wave of mobilization, and be training at least another 360,000 in that wave. If needed they may scaleup their training facilities more. Every 3 months they can do another round of mobilizations.
The defense industry also takes a long time to scale up. Like they can't just instantly produce 5 times as much weapons, it takes time to add capacity and for their suppliers to scale up.